Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.105773 4.397283 4.709324 5.069936 5.477416 5.926250 6.461735
2025-09-07 3.642644 4.047131 4.507513 5.077164 5.773051 6.609320 7.712756
2025-09-14 3.268973 3.711490 4.234112 4.909075 5.776929 6.884673 8.459052
2025-09-21 3.020911 3.486364 4.051827 4.807139 5.819555 7.179362 9.243863
2025-09-28 2.843357 3.326170 3.926761 4.752474 5.900519 7.515690 10.127065
2025-10-05 2.718148 3.218713 3.854927 4.753345 6.046736 7.951169 11.235582
2025-10-12 2.643355 3.168184 3.849739 4.838801 6.315415 8.599118 12.836191
2025-10-19 2.572491 3.116370 3.836346 4.907397 6.561483 9.243501 14.601653
2025-10-26 2.491604 3.045146 3.789713 4.920835 6.719586 9.761686 16.275039
2025-11-02 2.392556 2.943314 3.693025 4.850183 6.732282 10.023054 17.482984
2025-11-09 2.285187 2.824694 3.565537 4.722515 6.636393 10.068993 18.210557
2025-11-16 2.203702 2.738252 3.479369 4.651938 6.628728 10.278786 19.411529
2025-11-23 2.156216 2.699555 3.463432 4.695323 6.831693 10.955778 22.197869
2025-11-30 2.101489 2.648344 3.426578 4.703010 6.973722 11.541570 25.086476
2025-12-07 2.009867 2.540389 3.299556 4.554372 6.813106 11.446213 25.766776
2025-12-14 1.939554 2.460540 3.211199 4.464014 6.752996 11.566881 27.287445
2025-12-21 1.884680 2.400895 3.150506 4.415499 6.766912 11.859752 29.653451
2025-12-28 1.845405 2.362471 3.120311 4.416272 6.876184 12.402135 33.493032
2026-01-04 1.826178 2.352643 3.133515 4.492095 7.143145 13.401596 40.588022
2026-01-11 1.804475 2.338090 3.138268 4.552888 7.386300 14.407284 49.430541
2026-01-18 1.773276 2.308007 3.116765 4.564790 7.526696 15.166844 58.374441
2026-01-25 1.728019 2.255131 3.056465 4.502187 7.497461 15.419237 64.140787
2026-02-01 1.674418 2.188095 2.971004 4.388894 7.345513 15.265473 66.205921